Suarez, Whitlock and Detmers see leverage for Tuesday

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Pitchers seeing the most leverage: Ranger Suarez, Garrett Whitlock, Reid Detmers

Unfortunately, for DFS purposes, the Ranger Suarez has a pretty wide gap between its floor and ceiling. His pitching count can often get out of control early on, limiting his ability to go deep in games. He doesn’t feature the crushing elements to get the high number of strikeouts, only eclipsing the five-strikeout mark twice this season. Facing a plummeting Brewers side tonight who have lost five of six could help Suarez if this slump continues. Over the past week, Milwaukee has beaten baseball’s second-highest clip while having its ISO, wOBA, and wRC+ in the bottom six. Getting Suarez with minimal ownership will be valuable if he can keep his shot count in check early, allowing him to take advantage of Milwaukee’s recent struggles. Suarez becomes a much riskier game if you expect Milwaukee to return to form tonight.

The Angels offense is in freefall, losing twelve straight games and being shut out last night. It’s been a terrible two weeks offensively as the once-frightening roster ranks in the bottom three in ISO, wOBA and wRC+ over that span, and they’ve shown little to no signs they can pull through. . Garrett Whitlock is a respectable pitcher with a decent enough number of outs to give us an edge. Getting Whitlock under $7,000 while seeing great leverage against a lifeless team is too good to be true. Yes, the Angels certainly have the pieces for an offensive explosion at any time, but to fade them for one more night and go for present value with Whitlock is a smart play.

While the Angels have been nothing but abysmal over the past two weeks, the Red Sox have rolled. Ranking in the top 3 of runs scored, wOBA, HardHit% and wRC+ over this period. Reid Detmers is a tricky case to solve as he’s been hit or miss this season. One night we’ll see him throw a no-hitter, and the next will be an absolute sinking of an out. It’s a tough bet to make, especially against an offense as powerful as the Red Sox. If we were to get Detmers at a reasonable price, as we see with Whitlock, then taking that risk might be worth it. However, seeing it priced at $8500 is not opportunistic for an inconsistent pitcher with a low out cap.